Raymond Richman - Jesse Richman - Howard Richman
Richmans' Trade and Taxes Blog
Trade Deficits and Unemployment
Jesse Richman, 5/3/2013
Trade deficits usually have a pernicious effect on employment. As Figure II-2 below shows, the average unemployment rate in 2011 for countries that had a current account deficit in 2000 was much higher than for countries that had a current account surplus in 2000. Countries that borrowed and spent later suffered when the loans came due.
For the 65 countries covered in the figure (all of the countries available on tradingeconomics.com for these particular years of data), the 2011 unemployment rate was nearly twice as large (10.7 versus 5.9) in countries that had a current account deficit in 2000 (t = 3.4, p<.0.001).
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- Romney ad hits Obama for letting China counterfeit US intellectual property
- Jack Davis commentary may have given Romney the win in Iowa
- Santorum emphasizes bringing back U.S. manufacturing in his Iowa victory speech
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- Germany, the Euro and the Gold Standard
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- Senator Webb Introduces Bill to Combat Chinese Intellectual Property Grabs
- American Production of the iPod? Setting the Record Straight
- "What Would Keynes Do?" The Diagnosis is Right. The Solution?
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- Net U.S. manufacturing investment was 0.08% of GDP in 2010
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- Pat Buchanan's history lesson about the trade deficits
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- Gordon Chang: "The Chinese have a right to maintain mercantilist practices. Yet we have every right to counter them."
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- Will Asia Pull Back from the Dollar?
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- Prof. Gomory On Our Need to Balance Our Trade With China
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- Congress should reject the Free Trade Agreements unless a Balanced Trade Clause is added
- Economist Peter Navarro Accuses China of Unfair Trade Practices
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- It Wasn't About Medicare: Jack Davis' Message for the Republican Party -- we're published in Enter Stage Right this morning
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- Navarro's new book "Death by China"
- Obama gives China a free pass to continue currency manipulations
- Roubini: China is slowing the recovery in the U.S. & U.K.
- Trump rising rapidly in GOP polls
- The Korea Free Trade Agreement would Enable Korean Mercantilism
- Where's the Beef?
- Geithner thinks our trade problems with China are solving themselves
- Are China's coming reductions in import barriers a short-term or a long-term change?
- Rush Limbaugh apparently agrees with Donald Trump on China trade in March 1 interview
- Rising ChinaTrade Deficit Cost One-Half Million U.S. Jobs in 2010
- Donald Trump closing on leaders in Republican race
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- Did Geithner lean on U.S. regulators on behalf of the Chinese government in June 2009?
- France pushing G-20 deal to adress global imbalances
- Is the 2010 Trade Report the Prelude to a Dollar Collapse?
- Donald Trump at CPAC
- Morici: Events in Tunisia and Egypt were caused by Chinese mercantilism
- Evans-Pritchard on China
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- Hu Knows?
- The Give-Away Summit
- U.S. Trade Deficit with China edges up in November
- U.S. free trade policy promotes worldwide authoritarianism
- China rounds up the usual suspects
- Donald Trump calls for a 25% tariff on Chinese products
- AEA features Dismal Forcasts of America's Economic Future
- What do Obama's new top appointments have in common?
- Requiem to Roger Milliken and red-lentil stew
- The North American Unilateral Free Trade Agreement
- Proposed 'Scaled Tariff for Balanced Trade Act'
- Richard Duncan: World Economy on the Brink of Disaster (in 5 to 10 years)
- Hubbard and Navarro advocate VAT and end to currency manipulation in new book
- EPA regulation of carbon dioxide to begin January 2
- Will improved trade deficit of October be temporary?
- Bernanke to China: Stop Hurting Us or You'll Hurt Us -- We're published in today's American Thinker
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- Heartland Poll: Continued Public Support for Action on Trade
- Bernanke starting to catch up to Evans-Pritchard
- American Economic Leaders keep giving Advice to China
- Bernanke has learned what Richard Duncan explained in 2005
- D.J. McGuire: Obama may be "best-equipped American leader to take the CCP on"
- Obama and the House can produce Economic Growth
- Paying the Piper
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- Geithner backtracks from his call for balanced trade
- Obama's Failing Industrial Policy
- Just-elected Republican Congressman Allen West from Florida calls for tougher stance on Chinese trade
- Speak Loudly, but carry No Stick!
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- Krugman: China is a "rogue economic superpower, unwilling to play by the rules ... What are the rest of us going to do about it"
- The 'Move Your Corporate Headquarters Offshore' Act -- We're published in today's American Thinker
- Democrats Increasingly Turning to Trade Theme
- European Central Bank calls for a fixed exchange-rate system
- Gomory calls for Import Certificates to balance trade
- Let's have an Honest Trade Debate
- Michael Savage proposes 20% tariff on Chinese products
- WTO Helping China Loot Caterpillar -- We're published this morning in the American Thinker
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- China's 30% Tariff snags Caterpillar's Technology
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- House Committee Pulls Teeth out of China currency bill
- Dan Dimicco's Sept. 15 testimony on Chinese Currency to the House Ways and Means Committee
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- Unions Divided on China Policy
- Unions Divided on China Policy
- Scott Paul: The Onshoring Trend is Phony
- Greg Richards: "We must be much more aggressive with mercantilist countries in enforcing the rules of the road so that we protect out production and technology."
- Barr McClellan: "Malaise has returned"
- Krugman: "We're in a world in which mercantilism works"
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- Dan Drezner gives Obama an "F" for his trade agenda
- We are in the persistent depression predicted by Keynes
- Economists still failing to understand the effects of mercantilism
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- Geithner's job is to finance federal government expansion
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- The Scaled Tariff would Resuscitate the U.S. Economy
- Fed: Possibly 5 or 6 years before sustainable growth
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- Geithner's Three Currency Manipulation Reports
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- Steven Pearlstein calls for direct action against mercantilism
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- Is the Chinese government moving against Taiwanese and Japanese corporations?
- Yves Smith: "the US example show how a naive posture towards trade may not help its citizens"
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- The global warmers' shell fish hoax
- One or more members will have to exit the euro zone to restore competitiveness
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- China uses industrial policy is to keep out US products
- Auctioning Import Certificates is consistent with WTO rules
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- China raises its tariff on some US nylon products to 96.5%
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- Geithner will Punt on China Currency
- Boston Globe spins nuclear summit as success
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- Smoot-Hawley did not cause the Great Depression
- Charleston Post Courier editorial advocates Buffett's Import Certificates to balance trade
- NPR explains Chinese currency manipulation
- Obama punts on Chinese currency manipulation
- USTR lists China's many barriers to American products
- Lies, Damn Lies, and Chinese Statistics
- U.S. Corporations not helping China avoid Krugman's tariff
- Sidney Sherman traces start of America's decline to giving away our manufacturing to Asia
- Volcker is realistic about China
- Carbon tax: Sarcozy backs off, Sen. Kerry pushes forward.
- Peter Morici: Our current China policy is "appeasement"
- China activates its Fifth Column
- Needed, a Cross-the-Board Tariff on Imports From China
- NY Times ignores China's R&D Rules
- Why Krugman's China Argument Matters
- Relative currency values are not static
- Obama's Trade Policy Agenda -- we're published in American Thinker this morning
- Krugman on China currency
- 130 Congressman sign letter to Treasury and Commerce Deptartments asking them to address Chinse currency manipulations
- Paul Krugman calls for 25% cross-the-board tariff on Chinese goods
- What is the real reason why the Obama administration won't do anything about China?
- Washington Post: There's nothing that we can do about Chinese mercantilism
- U.S. exports down in January
- GreenJobsGate
- British exports see biggest fall in three years
- Heritage Foundation's Terry Miller claims Obama is a mercantilist
- Trading Away Productivity - Tonelson and Kearns in March 5 NY Times
- Unemployment report shows stagnant economy in February
- Commerce Dept. sets miniscule tariff on Chinese glossy paper
- Obama: 'It's very hard to ship windows from China'
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- Pfizer moving R&D from Connecticut to China
- Obama giving US R&D to China - we're published in today's American Thinker
- A Review of W. Raymond Mills "Toward Managed Trade"
- IMF Reconsiders Capital Controls Opposition
- Chin'a not selling. China's Buying
- US Companies Required to move Research Centers to China
- Nicholas Lardy: Obama "trying “trying to head off critics in Congress who think the administration is lying down in front of the Chinese"
- Peter Morici: Open Trade is Failing America
- "Playing Chicken with China" - we're published in today's American Thinker
- ABC News on Green Stimulus Jobs Going to China
- Restore American Jobs and Do It Quickly
- No growth in US goods exports to China in 2009
- Obama's China strategy
- Summers says everything is fine in our China relationship
- China is Playing Chicken with Obama
- Judith Stein: US reliving the 70s when we gave away our steel industry
- Kenneth R. Davis: Buffett Plan would make the WTO irrelevant
- Peter Morici's Currency Conversion Tax to End Mercantilism
- Ha-Joon Chang takes on Free Trade in his book The Bad Samaritans
- Ralph Gomory: The time has come to take Warren Buffett's Import Certificates plan seriously
- Google Has Its Rosa Parks Moment -- I'm published by Seeking Alpha today
- Larry Ringler: Google's courage may turn the tide in our dealings with China
- Peter Navarro writes commentary on China's industrial espionage
- Doha Round stalls over US demand that India and China open their markets
- Peter Morici: Free Trade is Failing America
- Calla Wiemer misunderstands Chinese mercantilism in Wall Street Journal
- Levy Economics Institute's analysis of Import Certificates to balance trade
- US wins WTO appeal on China's non-tariff barriers against US movies, music, and games
- Prof. Krugman and Chinese Mercantilism
- China agrees to modify export subsidies
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